Hezbollah Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

10%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

9%

Yes

$945k Vol.
$17k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

5%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$105k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$10k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

16%

October 31

$371k Vol.
$45k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

1%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

93%

September 22

$535k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

3%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

75%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

25%

March 31

$1.4m Vol.
$63k Liq.
26
Ended
I
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

36%

4-4.75%

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

10%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

96%

<5

$2k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

37%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$297 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

99%

<5

$21k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

50%

Yes

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ended