Hezbollah Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

10%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

8%

Yes

$945k Vol.
$18k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

5%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$105k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$10k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

16%

October 31

$371k Vol.
$44k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

1%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

94%

September 22

$535k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$145k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

75%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

2%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

38%

4.75-5.5%

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

10%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

35%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$320 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel false flag attack confirmed?

50%

Yes

$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ended
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Varchasva Thapliyag Sidh vs Nicolas Ulrich

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Varchasva Thapliyag Sidh vs Nicolas Ulrich

8%

Varchasva Thapliyag Sidh

$7 Vol.
$463 Liq.
Ends in 7 days