Health Crisis Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

H
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$18.4m Vol.
$177k Liq.
568
Ends in 3 months
N
New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

5%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

4%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

18%

December 31

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1?

23%

Yes

$359 Vol.
$18 Liq.
1
Ends in about 22 hours
M
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

1%

3700+

$17k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

98%

↑4k

$8.1m Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
71
Ended
M
Measles declared public health emergency before April?

No

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?

No

$67k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
N
New pandemic before July?

Science · Pandemics

New pandemic before July?

No

$346k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
H
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

No

$91k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
R
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?

No

$14k Vol.
$2 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by...?

May 15

$67k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
B
Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?

No

$770k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Measles pandemic before July?

No

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
New pandemic in 2025?

Pandemics · health

New pandemic in 2025?

No

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Yes

$150k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months