General Tariff Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

U
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

40%

5–15%

$1k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

61%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$247 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?

43%

December 31, 2027

$16k Vol.
$927 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?

49%

Burnham

$10k Vol.
$353 Liq.
1
Ended
U
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

14%

October 31

$87k Vol.
$124k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 month
H
How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

20-30%

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
37
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Job 20+ times

$274k Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended
W
What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?

Gaming

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

5–15%

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on April 30?

100-150%

$360k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on May 31?

<50%

$371k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
W
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Yes

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
N
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

Yes

$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on August 15?

25-40%

$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

<25%

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended
1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

No

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
1
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

No

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
47
Ended