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General Tariff Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

AllPoliticsFinanceTrumpU.S. PoliticsCanadaChinaIndiaInternational AffairsSCOTUSSupreme Court GeopoliticsEconomyMentionsEuropeTrump PresidencyGreenlandTariffsTrade WarWorldLiberation Day TariffsEarnings CallsTrump XiDavosGeneral TariffIEEPAUS Canada Trade War
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Economy·Trump

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

13%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

Politics·Canada

Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

60%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$276 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

Politics·Canada

Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

61%

December 31

$1k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Yes

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
H
How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

Politics·Trade War

How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

20-30%

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
37
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Job 20+ times

$274k Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended
W
What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?

Finance·Earnings Calls

What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?

Gaming

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

Politics·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

5–15%

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on April 30?

Politics·Trade War

U.S. tariff rate on China on April 30?

100-150%

$360k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on May 31?

Politics·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on May 31?

<50%

$371k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
W
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Politics·Trade War

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Yes

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
N
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

World·Trump

New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

Yes

$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on August 15?

Politics·Trump

U.S. tariff rate on China on August 15?

25-40%

$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Economy·China

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

No

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

Politics·Trump Presidency

U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

<25%

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended
1
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Politics·Tariffs

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

No

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
47
Ended
W
Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?

Politics·Greenland

Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?

Denmark

$417k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
5
50% India tariff in effect by August 27?

Geopolitics·Trump Presidency

50% India tariff in effect by August 27?

Yes

$77k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
T
Trump tariffs on China in effect by Friday?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Trump tariffs on China in effect by Friday?

Yes

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
3
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?

Politics·Trade War

30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?

No

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

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