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Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 301 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoEthereumBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveFedBitcoinFed RatesEconomyFOMCTrump PresidencyMacro SingleParlaysJerome PowellRecurringEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsGlobal RatesRateFed ChairWarshKevin WarshGov ReserveCPI Release
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

43%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$138k Vol.
$224k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

Crypto·Gov Reserve

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

4%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Politics·Trump

Fed abolished before 2027?

1%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Finance·Gov Reserve

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

6%

Yes

$65k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

47%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$424k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in December?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in December?

69%

25 bps increase

$1.4m Vol.
$735k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in October?

65%

25 bps increase

$14.7m Vol.
$2.8m Liq.
🔥$692k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Politics·Fed

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

20%

4.75%

$5k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
F
Fed Decision in January?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$124k Vol.
$497k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Fed Rates

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

89%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$312k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Politics·Fed Chair

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

16%

Yes

$448k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

2%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

45%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$179k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Politics·Fed Chair

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$176k Vol.
$249k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

51%

2 (50 bps)

$691k Vol.
$245k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

97%

0 (0 bps)

$53.5m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$84k today
122
Ends in 3 months
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Finance·Fed

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$25k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

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Popular Federal Reserve Predictions

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

New Federal Reserve Predictions

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