Fed Rates Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

50%

No change

$9.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.2m Vol.
$568k Liq.
🔥$94k today
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$110k Vol.
$389k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$101k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

82%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$424k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$154k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

62%

2 (50 bps)

$588k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

87%

Yes

$96k Vol.
$191k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

49%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$95k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.2m Vol.
$3.7m Liq.
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

40%

1

$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

43%

0

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

88%

↑ 7.00%

$91k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

41%

No change

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$91k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$965k Vol.
$142k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months