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Fed Chair Predictions & Odds· 133 markets

W

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k Vol.

$68k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

J

Politics·Jerome Powell

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

53%

>5%

$0 Vol.

$3k Liq.

Ended

P

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.

$9k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

J

Politics·Fed Chair

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

11%

Yes

$448k Vol.

$3k Liq.

21

Ends in 3 months

T

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k Vol.

$9k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Politics·Fed Chair

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$31k Vol.

$2k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

L

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$25k Vol.

$39k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

H

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

40%

0

$20k Vol.

$5k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

T

Politics·Trump

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

5%

Yes

$28k Vol.

$9k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

H

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

43%

0

$19k Vol.

$13k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

H

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

44%

0

$7k Vol.

$7k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

F

Fed Decision in December?

72%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.

$715k Liq.

🔥$54k today

Ends in 3 months

W

Politics·Parent For Derivative

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

$617.3m Vol.

$5k Liq.

2,000

Ends in 3 months

J

Politics·Trump

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

May 31

$356k Vol.

$0 Liq.

20

Ended

W

Politics·Fed Rates

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 15–22

$303k Vol.

$0 Liq.

6

Ended

W

Politics·remove

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

No

$110k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

K

Politics·Warsh

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

No

$306k Vol.

$0 Liq.

1

Ended

W

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

$64.5m Vol.

$0 Liq.

101

Ends in about 1 month

J

Politics·Derivatives

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

>5%

$2.0m Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

J

Politics·Derivatives

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

No

$67k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

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