F 35 Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

T
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

30%

June 30, 2027

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$709k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$315k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

36%

December 31

$49k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
TX-35 House Election Winner

TX-35 House Election Winner

64%

Johnny Garcia (D)

$18k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

98%

200+

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
U
US x Russia military clash by...?

4%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$16k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

17%

December 31

$55k Vol.
$32k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

54%

200+

$364 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.1m Vol.
$544k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

32%

December 31

$7.6m Vol.
$277k Liq.
🔥$179k today
242
Ends in 3 months
N
NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

62%

October 31

$160 Vol.
$532 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

10%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$16k Liq.
168
Ends in 3 months
I
India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

12%

Yes

$994k Vol.
$9k Liq.
70
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$333k Liq.
🔥$189k today
293
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months