F 35 Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

T
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$965k Vol.
$306k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

35%

December 31

$49k Vol.
$981 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

81%

200+

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
U
US x Russia military clash by...?

4%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$17k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

16%

December 31

$55k Vol.
$32k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

56%

200+

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

50%

200+

$100 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.0m Vol.
$513k Liq.
🔥$250k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

33%

December 31

$7.6m Vol.
$271k Liq.
🔥$358k today
241
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

91%

200+

$16k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

10%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
168
Ends in 3 months
I
India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

12%

Yes

$994k Vol.
$9k Liq.
70
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.2m Vol.
$316k Liq.
🔥$172k today
293
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
U
US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

14%

Yes

$7.4m Vol.
$38k Liq.
111
Ends in 3 months