F 35 Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

T
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

31%

June 30, 2027

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$708k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$967k Vol.
$148k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

36%

December 31

$49k Vol.
$848 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
TX-35 House Election Winner

TX-35 House Election Winner

64%

Johnny Garcia (D)

$18k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

82%

200+

$8k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
U
US x Russia military clash by...?

4%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$16k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

50%

200+

$352 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

17%

December 31

$55k Vol.
$36k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.0m Vol.
$500k Liq.
🔥$251k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

33%

December 31

$7.6m Vol.
$261k Liq.
🔥$337k today
241
Ends in 3 months
T
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

10%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$15k Liq.
168
Ends in 3 months
I
India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

12%

Yes

$994k Vol.
$9k Liq.
70
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$293k Liq.
🔥$217k today
293
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
U
US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

14%

Yes

$7.4m Vol.
$38k Liq.
111
Ends in 3 months