Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

54%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$481 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

7.0%

$523k Vol.
$15k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

30%

50k to 100k

$17k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

47%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

23%

7.3M to 7.4M

$24k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

27%

No change

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
N
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?

41%

October 15

$11k Vol.
$825 Liq.
Ends in 18 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
B
Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

60%

No Change

$121k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

98%

Up

$3k Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

48%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$396k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

82%

25 bps increase

$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

86%

No Change

$36k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

41%

No change

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

50%

<2.75%

$700 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month