Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

37%

4.1%

$24k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$358 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$98k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$17k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

38%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

47%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

19%

7.4M to 7.5M

$19k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

39%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

21%

No change

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?

60%

October 15

$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

34%

<20

$513 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

46%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$918 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

49%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$436k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

98%

Up

$3k Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

90%

No Change

$33k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

43%

No change

$3k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

42%

<2.75%

$608 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month