Emmanuel Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

35%

None before 2027

$384k Vol.
$590k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

95%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$154k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

75%

Mark Carney

$137k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

76%

Zohran Mamdani

$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

55%

Friedrich Merz

$545k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
N
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

60%

Aliyu Wadada Ahmed

$16k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
A
Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

71%

Eno Umo Bassey

$15k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$282 Liq.
Ended
T
Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

72%

Agbu Kefas

$6k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

70%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

89%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
D
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

86%

Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor

$17k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$332 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$355k Vol.
$22k Liq.
112
Ends in 3 months
G
Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso

Tennis · Sports

Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso

44%

Matthew William Donald

$0 Vol.
$340 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Curitiba: Joao Marcos Angelico vs Gustavo Torres Albuquerque

Tennis · Sports

M15 Curitiba: Joao Marcos Angelico vs Gustavo Torres Albuquerque

51%

Joao Marcos Angelico

$72 Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Henri Haupt vs Clement Hemery

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Henri Haupt vs Clement Hemery

100%

Henri Haupt

$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

72%

1500+

$81k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months