Emmanuel Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$639k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

99%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$156k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

79%

Mark Carney

$138k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

60%

Aliyu Wadada Ahmed

$16k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

53%

Friedrich Merz

$545k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

81%

Zohran Mamdani

$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Akwa Ibom, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

71%

Eno Umo Bassey

$15k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
T
Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

72%

Agbu Kefas

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$364 Liq.
Ended
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

69%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
D
Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

86%

Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor

$17k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$358 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
M
M15 Telavi: Edouard Villoslada vs Samuel Allerton

Tennis · Sports

M15 Telavi: Edouard Villoslada vs Samuel Allerton

74%

Edouard Villoslada

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$23k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli vs Vasyl Makarenko

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli vs Vasyl Makarenko

87%

Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Monastir: Alexander Watanabe Eriksson vs Gabrielius Guzauskas

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Alexander Watanabe Eriksson vs Gabrielius Guzauskas

50%

Alexander Watanabe Eriksson

$0 Vol.
$328 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Curitiba: Eduardo Lage vs Eugenio Almeida Junior

Tennis · Sports

M15 Curitiba: Eduardo Lage vs Eugenio Almeida Junior

50%

Eduardo Lage

$0 Vol.
$282 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$355k Vol.
$22k Liq.
112
Ends in 3 months