Electoral Votes Predictions & Odds· 232 markets

B
Biden wins 270 Electoral Votes - Midwest Victory

No

$32k Vol.
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E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
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1,324
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P
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

GOP by 1-2%

$124.0m Vol.
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408
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E
Electoral College Margin of Victory?

GOP by 65-104

$116.2m Vol.
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490
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C
California Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$3.1m Vol.
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48
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N
Nebraska Presidential Election Winner

Donald Trump

$1.2m Vol.
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5
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T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)

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U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

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4
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U
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?

deprec USA Election · recount

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?

No

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3
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R
RFK Jr. popular vote share?

<1%

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50
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D
Dominican Republic Presidential Election Winner

Global Elections · elections 2024

Dominican Republic Presidential Election Winner

Luis Abinader

$36k Vol.
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1
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T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on May 31?

Trump by 0.8-1.1

$37k Vol.
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1
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W
Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?

No

$479k Vol.
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8
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R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

$42k Vol.
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2
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C
Croatia Presidential Election

Zoran Milanović

$5.1m Vol.
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139
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O
Oklahoma Presidential Election Winner

Donald Trump

$249k Vol.
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1
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M
Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?

Milei by >5%

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T
Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

Lai Ching-te (賴清德)

$3.8m Vol.
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168
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(
(Old) Romania Election

eu · Europe

(Old) Romania Election

Other (incl. Georgescu)

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10,491
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