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Election Forecasting Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

All

Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

$81k Vol.
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E
Election called by...?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Election called by...?

Wednesday, Nov 6

$146k Vol.
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2
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G
Ghana Presidential Election

Politics·World Elections

Ghana Presidential Election

John Mahama

$348k Vol.
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43
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C
Croatia Presidential Election

Politics·Global Elections

Croatia Presidential Election

Zoran Milanović

$5.1m Vol.
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139
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New York Presidential Election Winner

Politics·depec us elections

New York Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$11.2m Vol.
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95
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E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Politics·World Elections

Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
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1,324
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Washington DC Presidential Election Winner

Elections·u.s. election

Washington DC Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$216k Vol.
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1
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Texas Presidential Election Winner

Politics·All

Texas Presidential Election Winner

Donald Trump

$13.4m Vol.
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109
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A
Australia Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics·Global Elections

Australia Parliamentary Election Winner

Labour

$4.0m Vol.
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104
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S
Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Politics·Global Elections

Sri Lanka Presidential Election Winner

Anura Dissanayake

$106k Vol.
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Liechtenstein Parliamentary Election Winner

World Elections · Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein Parliamentary Election Winner

VU

$443k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
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Washington Presidential Election Winner

Politics·State Presidential Election

Washington Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$755k Vol.
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9
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Spanish Election

All

Spanish Election

Will PP win a plurality?

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Florida Presidential Election Winner

Politics·All

Florida Presidential Election Winner

Donald Trump

$13.1m Vol.
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85
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(Old) Romania Election

eu · Europe

(Old) Romania Election

Other (incl. Georgescu)

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10,491
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Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Politics·u.s. election

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Republicans sweep

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424
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Greenland Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics·Greenland

Greenland Parliamentary Election Winner

Democrats

$1.9m Vol.
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68
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Michigan Senate Election Winner

Politics·US Politics

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Elissa Slotkin

$1.8m Vol.
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38
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Virginia Presidential Election Winner

Politics·State Presidential Election

Virginia Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$20.5m Vol.
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357
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Washington Governor Election Winner

Politics·Governor Races

Washington Governor Election Winner

Democrat

$261k Vol.
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