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Electoral College Predictions & Odds· 138 markets

AllPoliticsJoe BidenDeprec USA ElectionRepublican PartyVivek RamaswamyRepublicans2024 Presidential ElectionTrumpNikki HaleyElectionsRon DesantisPresidential ElectionPresidential RaceGavin NewsomU.S. Presidential Election2024 ElectionKanye WestU.S. PoliticsHillary ClintonKamala HarrisDemocratsPresidential Election 2024ElectionCaliforniaU.S. Presidential Election 2024World AffairsU.S. ElectionElections 2024Chris ChristieElizabeth WarrenUS PoliticsMichelle ObamaElection ResultsGopPoints: PoliticsPoints Lead. Tags: 2024 Presidential ElectionElection Forecasting.Electoral VotesElectoral Votes: PoliticsElectoral Votes: Tags: PoliticsUS ElectionAocBernie SandersPopular VoteRFK JrVotingPolandEuGlobal ElectionsSwing StatesState Presidential ElectionUK ElectionElectoral College EnglandBritainKamalaHouse RacesEuropeMarginMargin Of VictoryWorldMidterms
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Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?

All

Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?

$265k Vol.
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Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?

No

$479k Vol.
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8
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E
Electoral College Margin of Victory?

Politics·All

Electoral College Margin of Victory?

GOP by 65-104

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490
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Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

GOP by 1-2%

$124.0m Vol.
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408
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E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Politics·World Elections

Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

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1,324
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California Presidential Election Winner

Politics·State Presidential Election

California Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$3.1m Vol.
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48
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C
Croatia Presidential Election

Politics·Global Elections

Croatia Presidential Election

Zoran Milanović

$5.1m Vol.
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139
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Nebraska Presidential Election Winner

Politics·State Presidential Election

Nebraska Presidential Election Winner

Donald Trump

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5
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# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

Politics·Midterms

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

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P
Poland Presidential Election

Politics·Global Elections

Poland Presidential Election

Karol Nawrocki

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26,133
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N
Nevada Margin of Victory

Politics·Swing States

Nevada Margin of Victory

Trump by 3.0-4.0%

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26
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# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

Politics·UK Election

# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

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5
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Colorado Presidential Election Winner

Politics·State Presidential Election

Colorado Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

$4.8m Vol.
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32
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RFK Jr. popular vote share?

Politics·deprec USA Election

RFK Jr. popular vote share?

<1%

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50
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Popular Vote Winner 2024

Politics·All

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Donald Trump

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4,553
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U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

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Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Republicans win both

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780
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(
(Old) Romania Election

eu · Europe

(Old) Romania Election

Other (incl. Georgescu)

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10,491
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Reform share of votes in UK election?

Elections·Global Elections

Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

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2
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Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Politics·Joe Biden

Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)

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