Disclosure Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$237k Vol.
$247k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$34k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4
Ends in 6 months
W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

$181k Vol.
$50k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

50%

Movie A

$26k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

6%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$13k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

4%

Yes

$342k Vol.
$28k Liq.
45
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

51%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$71k Vol.
$66k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$306 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

22%

Yes

$512 Vol.
$233 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

5%

October 31

$4.4m Vol.
$6k Liq.
1,049
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

55%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$68 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

75%

$900B-$1.00T

$29k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months