Demographic Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Milwaukee?

Wisconsin 5+ times

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# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
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5
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Spanish Election

All

Spanish Election

Will PP win a plurality?

$10k Vol.
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Trump Margin of Victory in Idaho Caucus?

>60%

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UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

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>60%

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Taiwan Presidential Election: Who will win?

Lai Ching-te (賴清德)

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168
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# of Labour seats after UK Election? (325-450)

400-424

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Euro 2024: Favorite fails to advance beyond group stage?

No

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Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
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Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on May 31?

Trump by 0.8-1.1

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# of Andrew Tate tweets between May 22 and May 29?

105+

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Trump Margin of Victory in Iowa Caucus?

25-30%

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California Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Schiff wins

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Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?

Biden

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Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

September 10

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Indian election: NDA wins 400+ seats?

No

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Italian Referendum

Italian Referendum

Citizenship Residency Requirement

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44
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California Senate Primary: Who will advance?

Adam Schiff

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Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?

Milei by >5%

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