Democratic Primary Predictions & Odds· 523 markets

S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ended
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

89%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

92%

Canceled

$229k Vol.
$90k Liq.
31
Ends in 6 months
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

74%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

39%

7-8%

$361 Vol.
$608 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

31%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$191 Liq.
2
Ends in 18 days
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1283.6m Vol.
$75.6m Liq.
🔥$387k today
825
Ends in about 2 years
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$97 Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

42%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$309 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

27%

<8

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

4%

Michael Echols

$64k Vol.
$54k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
D
Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
F
Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner

96%

Angie Nixon (D)

$4k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

42%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$178k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months