Defense Predictions & Odds· 296 markets

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Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1?

Yes

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?

No

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Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?

July 17

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What will Trump say during the Defense and Innovation Summit?

Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No

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Applied Aerospace & Defense IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.75B–$3.25B

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

No

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W
What will Trump say at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?

Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

No

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Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?

Yes

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Who will be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Pete Hegseth

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?

No

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?

No

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Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Other

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What will Trump say during Mexican Border Defense Medal Presentation on December 15?

Thank you / Please 13+ times

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Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)

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