Aerospace Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

A
Applied Aerospace & Defense IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.75B–$3.25B

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?

No

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
W
Will GE Aeropsace (GE) Q2 adjusted revenue be above __?

$11.75B

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Science · outer space

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?

Space · Science

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?

No

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
S
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

Science · Boeing

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

No

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$776k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

By May 31

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11

October 31

$136k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Science · SpaceX

SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Yes

$572 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

<$1b / No token in 2024

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended
$
$SAFE Market Cap (FDV) one week after launch?

$1-2b

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

SpaceX · Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

Super Heavy explodes?

$441k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

60-79

$573k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?

$519k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?

All · SpaceX

Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?

December 31

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

75-84

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

<60

$487k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended
L
Lighter airdrop by...?

Lighter airdrop by...?

December 31

$26.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,554
L
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$2B

$106.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,155
Ended