Defense Minister Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%

Yes

$449k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NCAA Football: Top Ranked Defense

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: Top Ranked Defense

50%

A

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

1%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
P
Pro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense

NFL (All) · Sports

Pro Football: 2026-27 Highest-Rated Defense

51%

Los Angeles Chargers

$0 Vol.
$76 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$17k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

16%

December 31

$76k Vol.
$92k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
E
European military action against Iran by...?

European military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$326k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$17k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$13k Liq.
24
Ends in 5 days
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

17%

October 31

$382k Vol.
$34k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

14%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

7%

Yes

$3.1m Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

5%

Yes

$482k Vol.
$14k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

12%

Oman

$63k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

22%

Yes

$675 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

19%

September 30

$16k Vol.
$58k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months