Defamation Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

S
SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$287 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

92%

September 21

$48k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

79%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$44k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k Vol.
$266k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

40%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$380 Liq.
Ended
C
Chud the Builder convicted?

Chud the Builder convicted?

37%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$390 Liq.
2
Ends in 10 months
C
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group B

68%

Galorys

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

7%

Changpeng Zhao (CZ)

$64k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 days
N
Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

25%

Yes

$65 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

20%

Yes

$990 Vol.
$68 Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 year
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

10%

Yes

$140k Vol.
$13k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

78%

Mark Carney

$137k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
D
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

5%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

64%

December 31

$20k Vol.
$16k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
C
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?

13%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$581 Liq.
3
Ends in 10 months
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

4%

Yes

$554 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
C
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

61%

Bounty Hunters Esports

$0 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month