Conservative Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$280k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

69%

Yes

$331 Vol.
$271 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

80%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

30%

12

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$10k Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$76k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

75%

↑ $6

$844k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$3k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
W
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

34%

50

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

98%

Jimmy Panetta (D)

$49k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$804 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

50%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$158 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

86%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$401 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

53%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days