Claudine Gay Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

95%

45%+

$95k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

100%

December 31

$52k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

46%

September 28

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$29k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

95%

$5+

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

93%

55%+

$127k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

94%

5-7

$29k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

56%

↑ $30

$568 Vol.
$587 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

35%

↓ $8

$368 Vol.
$661 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

69%

$40+

$265 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

81%

$15+

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

28%

↑ $55

$354 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$11k Liq.
71
Ended
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

86%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$407 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Slobozia: Stefan-Cristian Enache vs Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie

Tennis · Sports

M25 Slobozia: Stefan-Cristian Enache vs Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie

50%

Stefan-Cristian Enache

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

96%

December 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

Sports · lazio

Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

47%

Yes

$737 Vol.
$75 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$596k Vol.
$444k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

63%

Elmano de Freitas

$302k Vol.
$265k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

64%

Ulrich Siegmund

$362k Vol.
$158k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months