Claudine Gay Predictions & Odds· 162 markets

N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

90%

45%+

$92k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$50k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

47%

September 29

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

94%

5-7

$29k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
C
Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

96%

$5+

$822 Vol.
$712 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$29k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

82%

$20+

$1k Vol.
$500 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

92%

55%+

$126k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

68%

$40+

$220 Vol.
$282 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

28%

↓ $30

$272 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

43%

↑ $25

$367 Vol.
$459 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

26%

↓ $5

$160 Vol.
$303 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

89%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$712 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

96%

December 31

$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

Sports · lazio

Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

47%

Yes

$737 Vol.
$72 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$3k Liq.
71
Ended
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$591k Vol.
$216k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

63%

Elmano de Freitas

$301k Vol.
$191k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

63%

Ulrich Siegmund

$360k Vol.
$70k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months
#
#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 2)

55%

Cleveland! - Taylor Swift

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days