Claude Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$37k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

75%

1500+

$98k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

73%

5-7

$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

94%

55%+

$117k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

98%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

95%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

50%

Other

$285 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

49%

Other

$213 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Eric Girard

$6k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

33%

1480+

$41k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

92%

December 31

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Andrea Colombo

Tennis · Sports

ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Andrea Colombo

Clement Lemire

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
M15 Monastir: CHARLES CHEN vs Andrea Colombo

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: CHARLES CHEN vs Andrea Colombo

19%

CHARLES CHEN

$245 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
L
LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C

Esports · league of legends

LoL: FENNEL vs Cupid Esports (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C

30%

FENNEL

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
W
Will G2 Caps Get a Hair Transplant in 2026?

lol · Sports

Will G2 Caps Get a Hair Transplant in 2026?

31%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months