Claude Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

December 31

$236k Vol.
$26k Liq.
🔥$55k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

37%

September 21

$45k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

92%

55%+

$110k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

73%

1500+

$81k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

63%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$839 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

73%

5-7

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

93%

October 31

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

57%

Alexandre Daneau

$5k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

60%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$6k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

90%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Andrea Colombo

Tennis · Sports

ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Andrea Colombo

Clement Lemire

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Genoa 2: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Lorenzo Berto

Tennis · Sports

Genoa 2: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Lorenzo Berto

64%

Dimitris Sakellaridis

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will G2 Caps Get a Hair Transplant in 2026?

lol · Sports

Will G2 Caps Get a Hair Transplant in 2026?

31%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months