Clarity Act Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

7%

Yes

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W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

John Fetterman

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S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

2%

October 9

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H
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

9%

Above 58

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C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

7%

Yes

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C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

45%

Yes

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S
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

5%

Yes

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U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

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W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

45%

National + ACT + NZF

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U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

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U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

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W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%

Yes

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H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

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W
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

11%

Yes

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W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

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U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

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F
FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

41%

Yes

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M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

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U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

12%

Yes

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N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

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