China Talk Predictions & Odds· 204 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes

$42.6m Vol.
$565k Liq.
🔥$109k today
73
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

8%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$264k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

5%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

9%

Yes

$452k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$370k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

27%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$449 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

50%

4.3-4.6%

$40k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$24k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
H
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

39%

8

$58k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%

Yes

$482k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

6%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

6%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$35k Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$22k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Sneyking join a China-based team in 2026?

Dota 2 · Sports

Will Sneyking join a China-based team in 2026?

62%

Yes

$463 Vol.
$39 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

17%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$16k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months