China Talk Predictions & Odds· 205 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes

$42.5m Vol.
$499k Liq.
🔥$147k today
73
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$189k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$368k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%

Yes

$479k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$212k Vol.
$25k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

39%

8

$57k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

Yes

$257k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

56%

4.3-4.6%

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

8%

Yes

$448k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

18%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$47k Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$22k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Sneyking join a China-based team in 2026?

Dota 2 · Sports

Will Sneyking join a China-based team in 2026?

58%

Yes

$430 Vol.
$61 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$94 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
V
Valorant: Havoc & Yonder GC vs Nova Esports GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers China Qualifier Playoffs

40%

Havoc & Yonder GC

$14 Vol.
$525 Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
C
China PR vs. Turkmenistan

Sports · Games

China PR vs. Turkmenistan

50%

Draw (China PR vs. Turkmenistan)

$0 Vol.
$370 Liq.
Ends in 12 days