Chancellor Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$2.5m Vol.
$163k Liq.
🔥$64k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$38k Vol.
$178k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1000k Vol.
$271k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$307 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

48%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$704 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$151k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

65%

CGT increase

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

26%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$2k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

63%

200+

$857 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

100%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

52%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
$239k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

97%

200+

$8k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
L
LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Project Conquerors vs Galions Sharks (BO5) - Nexus League Playoffs

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

18%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$897 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?

87%

↓ $224

$71k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$360 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

12%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$295 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

3%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months