Chair Of The Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$49k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

14%

Yes

$449k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

2%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$32k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

4%

December 31

$25k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

2%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

50%

0

$19k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

40%

0

$21k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

43%

0

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

44%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$157k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

17%

4.75%

$11k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
K
Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Thom Tillis

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 30

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
T
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

January 31, 2026

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended
W
Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)

$3.2m Vol.
$6k Liq.
19
Ended
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

June 30

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

$64.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
101
Ends in about 1 month