Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$174k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

54%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
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H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

39%

5

$10k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$976k Vol.
$330k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

72%

PSD

$32k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.4m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$250k today
304
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$572k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

19%

Yes

$21k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

7%

Yes

$247 Vol.
$621 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
Q
Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

23%

20-24

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Ends in 13 days
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

56%

200+

$831 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

32%

S + MP

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4
Ends in 10 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

98%

200+

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W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

86%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

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5
Ends in 4 months
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

33%

<50

$17k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

97%

Linke

$13k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

97%

30-34

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$18k Liq.
3
Ended
W
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

69%

Yashar

$3k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

-No Qualifying Event-

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days