Blockchain Predictions & Odds· 169 markets

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?

45%

Base

$4k Vol.
$176 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
T
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?

97%

June 30, 2027

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

2%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

56%

Coinbase

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
Q
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?

10%

December 31, 2027

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
E
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

1%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$24k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
B
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?

44%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$157 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto

97%

Nothing

$17k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
J
Jumper FDV one day after launch?

Jumper FDV one day after launch?

82%

$60M

$297 Vol.
$526 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by ___?

72%

March 31, 2027

$720 Vol.
$687 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
Ethereum tapered issuance burn implemented by ___?

59%

December 31, 2028

$730 Vol.
$389 Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
When will the Bitcoin halving occur?

When will the Bitcoin halving occur?

91%

June 30, 2028

$58 Vol.
$592 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

2%

Yes

$197k Vol.
$9k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

59%

Up

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

50%

Up

$29 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
W
Will Trump launch a blockchain before July?

No

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?

No

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
28
Ended