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Banking Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

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W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

Economy·Iran

US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$513 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

Economy·Iran

Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

4%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

Finance·Banking

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

$2.1B

$168k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above __?

Finance·Banking

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above __?

$1.9B

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

Finance·JP Morgan

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

$2.55B

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Klarna say during their next earnings call?

Tech·Big Tech

What will Klarna say during their next earnings call?

Percent 40+ times

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24?

Mentions·Fed

What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24?

Federal Reserve 5+ times

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
What will Powell say at Princeton Commencement Speech?

Mentions·Fed Rates

What will Powell say at Princeton Commencement Speech?

Federal Reserve 2+

$142k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by June 30?

JPMorgan Chase

$591k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?

Crypto·Big Tech

Palmer Luckey Erebor Bank chartered in 2025?

Yes

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Politics·Israel

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Yes

$17.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
4,580
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during Senate Nomination Hearing?

Politics·Trump

What will Kevin Warsh say during Senate Nomination Hearing?

Inflation 10+ times

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night?

All

Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night?

Yes

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?

Economy·Iran

US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?

Yes

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
T
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?

Crypto·Trump Presidency

Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?

No

$426k Vol.
$0 Liq.
66
Ended
T
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?

Politics·Trump

Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?

Yes

$457k Vol.
$0 Liq.
56
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Up

$47k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up

$131k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Crypto·Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Up

$80k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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Popular Banking Predictions

JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

New Banking Predictions

JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?