Bank Failure Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

48%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$761 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$823 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

21%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$36k Liq.
97
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$275k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

3%

Yes

$136k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$66k Vol.
$727k Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$297 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Nexus (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

40%

The Last Resort

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$31k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
C
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

58%

Alliance

$598 Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs
$341 Vol.
$1 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

8%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$25k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

66%

Sinners

$0 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
C
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

63%

Nuclear TigeRES

$619 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: PARTIZAN vs Fever Squad (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: PARTIZAN vs Fever Squad (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

55%

PARTIZAN

$0 Vol.
$626 Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

50%

Young TigeRES

$0 Vol.
$663 Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year