Ballot Initiative Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

95%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$439k Vol.
$451k Liq.
103
Ends in 9 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

73%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

57%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$900 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

47%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$379 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

79%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$29 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

27%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$174 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

80%

Yes

$453 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$270 Vol.
$544 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$547 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

60%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$312 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

48%

Yes

$623 Vol.
$625 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

64%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$140 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

67%

Yes

$182 Vol.
$399 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

65%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$160 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

71%

Édouard Philippe

$6k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

43%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

31%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$256 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

46%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$823 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

26%

Yes

$166 Vol.
$47 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

28%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$69k Liq.
28
Ended