Ballot Initiative Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

95%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$440k Vol.
$470k Liq.
103
Ends in 9 months
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

56%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$900 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

44%

Yes

$270 Vol.
$525 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

70%

Yes

$182 Vol.
$403 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

41%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$347 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

79%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

26%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$142 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$491 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

56%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$276 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

47%

Yes

$623 Vol.
$638 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

65%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$322 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

66%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$166 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

73%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

71%

Édouard Philippe

$6k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

47%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

31%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$251 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

44%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$829 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

41%

Yes

$166 Vol.
$106 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

31%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$68k Liq.
28
Ended
C
California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

74%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months