2024 Iowa Caucus Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

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Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus?

Yes

$94k Vol.
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Trump Margin of Victory in Iowa Caucus?

25-30%

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Iowa Caucus 2nd place?

Iowa Caucus 2nd place?

Ron DeSantis

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Who will win the 2024 Republican Iowa Caucus?

Donald Trump

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Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa?

No

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Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus?

All · Iowa

Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus?

No

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Trump ≥12% in Selzer Iowa poll?

No

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Will Trump win Iowa by 12+ points?

Yes

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Will Trump lose Iowa but win election?

No

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Republican Nominee 2024

Republican Nominee 2024

Donald Trump

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IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)

Miller-Meeks

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Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Rob Sand

$379k Vol.
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I
Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Josh Turek

$43k Vol.
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I
IA-03 election: Baccam (D) vs. Nunn (R)

Nunn

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I
Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Turek 20–30%

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Senate control after 2024 election?

Republicans

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Trump wins every state in Rep. Nomination?

No

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House control after 2024 election?

Republican

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Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?

No

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Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner

Zach Lahn

$309k Vol.
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