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49 条结果，关键词： Derivatives

全部PoliticsDeprec USA ElectionIranTrumpElectionsMiddle EastFedUnited StatesCelebritiesDebateCongressCultureUS ElectionGlobal ElectionsFed RatesGeopoliticsKamalaEconomyPollingDerivativesDenmarkMagazinePotyRomaniaGov ShutdownJerome PowellGreenlandWorldMidtermsKhameneiBucharest MayorTime POTYAli Khamenei
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Trump

$7.0m 交易量
$0 流动性
124
已结束
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

Politics·Kamala

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

Trump

$5.4m 交易量
$0 流动性
33
已结束
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Politics·Debate

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Kamala

$5.3m 交易量
$0 流动性
400
已结束
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Kamala

$2.7m 交易量
$0 流动性
124
已结束
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

Politics·Derivatives

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

>5%

$2.0m 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Culture·Celebrities

Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Yes

$1.9m 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
O
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

Geopolitics·Derivatives

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

50%

$1.4m 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
O
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

>30%

$809k 交易量
$0 流动性
63
已结束
U
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

World·Derivatives

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

Yes

$767k 交易量
$0 流动性
20
已结束
J
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Culture·Derivatives

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

No

$665k 交易量
$0 流动性
104
已结束
W
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

Yes

$576k 交易量
$0 流动性
71
已结束
O
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

>15%

$563k 交易量
$0 流动性
21
已结束
R
Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

Elections·Derivatives

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

↓ 60%

$528k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
O
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

Geopolitics·Iran

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

No

$513k 交易量
$0 流动性
39
已结束
O
Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

Politics·Derivatives

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

>50%

$385k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
F
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

25bps cut

$368k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
G
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Politics·Derivatives

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Yes

$347k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
R
Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

Elections·United States

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

↑ 25%

$322k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
O
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Politics·Ali Khamenei

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

No

$226k 交易量
$0 流动性
31
已结束
W
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?

World·Romania

Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?

Yes

$216k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束