Trump Iran 预测与赔率· 108 个市场

T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

20%

Yes

$7k 交易量
$120 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

83%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$987k 交易量
$235k 流动性
🔥$105k 今日
9 个月后结束
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

95%

Nuclear

$20k 交易量
$18k 流动性
1 天后结束
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

73%

Vote / Voter / Votes

$7k 交易量
$757 流动性
4 天后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

59%

Texas

$5k 交易量
$453 流动性
4 天后结束
T
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

Yes

$200k 交易量
$48k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$999k 交易量
$276k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.3m 交易量
$580k 流动性
🔥$259k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$10k 交易量
$62k 流动性
3 个月后结束
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

35%

Yes

$13k 交易量
$902 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.1m 交易量
$392k 流动性
🔥$528k 今日
602
3 个月后结束
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

36%

USA

$14k 交易量
$102k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?

5%

Yes

$7k 交易量
$16k 流动性
1
8 天后结束
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

0%

Yes

$19k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

Yes

$626k 交易量
$14k 流动性
11
3 个月后结束
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k 交易量
$26k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

5%

Yes

$100k 交易量
$32k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k 交易量
$26k 流动性
25
3 个月后结束
U
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

21%

Yes

$251k 交易量
$39k 流动性
3 个月后结束