The 预测与赔率· 19981 个市场

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$69.9m 交易量
$1.1m 流动性
🔥$621k 今日
1,705
3 个月后结束
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

Yes

$68.4m 交易量
$941k 流动性
🔥$611k 今日
1
3 个月后结束
P
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

53%

Gadi Eizenkot

$38.7m 交易量
$2.9m 流动性
🔥$181k 今日
707
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m 交易量
$1.7m 流动性
🔥$165k 今日
1
3 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.8m 交易量
$1.6m 流动性
🔥$122k 今日
8 天后结束
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

66%

Democratic Party

$5.0m 交易量
$790k 流动性
🔥$110k 今日
147
3 个月后结束
U
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

97%

340–354

$2.5m 交易量
$74k 流动性
115
已结束
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%

Yes

$10.8m 交易量
$84k 流动性
275
3 个月后结束
V
VMA Video of the Year 2026

VMA Video of the Year 2026

54%

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$52k 交易量
$23k 流动性
5 天后结束
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

63%

OpenAI

$189k 交易量
$42k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

99%

Elon Musk

$18k 交易量
$90k 流动性
1
15 天后结束
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.2m 交易量
$684k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

97%

20-24

$75k 交易量
$62k 流动性
已结束
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

4%

Yes

$296k 交易量
$52k 流动性
34
12 天后结束
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m 交易量
$219k 流动性
27
5 个月后结束
W
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

7%

Yes

$3.4m 交易量
$133k 流动性
81
3 个月后结束
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

95%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$435k 交易量
$477k 流动性
103
9 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

97%

Anthropic

$71k 交易量
$42k 流动性
8 天后结束
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

93%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$28k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

38%

≤47

$3.0m 交易量
$347k 流动性
11
大约 1 个月后结束