Synopsys 预测与赔率· 101 个市场

W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k 交易量
$64k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

51%

Anthropic

$342 交易量
$62 流动性
11 天后结束
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

100%

Trump

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
7 天后结束
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

38%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?

75%

$1.25-$1.50T

$1k 交易量
$4k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

86%

Anthropic

$23k 交易量
$20k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k 交易量
$7k 流动性
4 个月后结束
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 个月后结束
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k 交易量
$11k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$23k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量
$5k 流动性
2 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4 个月后结束
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$62k 交易量
$20k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

16%

OpenAI

$9k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$24k 交易量
$27k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

33%

September 21

$46k 交易量
$31k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$64k 交易量
$33k 流动性
10 天后结束