Primaries 预测与赔率· 101 个市场

W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 交易量
$100 流动性
将近 2 年后结束
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k 交易量
$51k 流动性
20 天后结束
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

34%

Yes

$645 交易量
$199 流动性
2
20 天后结束
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

68%

Olivier Faure

$5k 交易量
$13k 流动性
20 天后结束
H
How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

96%

4-6

$97k 交易量
$18k 流动性
1
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

92%

Canceled

$228k 交易量
$92k 流动性
31
21 天后结束
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$320 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k 交易量
$60k 流动性
1
已结束
H
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

94%

10-12

$54k 交易量
$17k 流动性
4
S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

74%

Raphael Glucksmann

$51k 交易量
$127k 流动性
12
大约 1 个月后结束
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k 交易量
$104k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k 交易量
$287k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

22–23

$695k 交易量
$76k 流动性
4
大约 1 个月后结束
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k 交易量
$101k 流动性
已结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$336 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

30%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
大约 2 年后结束
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

41%

7-8%

$361 交易量
$333 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 交易量
$314 流动性
6 个月后结束