Polling 预测与赔率· 170 个市场

U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$825k 交易量
$2k 流动性
14
9 个月后结束
G
GOP Black vote share?

GOP Black vote share?

35%

10–11%

$2k 交易量
$30k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
W
Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

60%

Democrats

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k 交易量
$44k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

Which party will win older women in the midterms?

86%

Democrats

$478 交易量
$17k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
W
Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?

Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?

87%

Democrats

$1k 交易量
$17k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
W
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

95%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?

No

$6k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
B
Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?

No

$16k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
G
Generic Ballot polling on August 24?

Generic Ballot polling on August 24?

Dems +6.6–6.7%

$1k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on May 31?

Trump by 0.8-1.1

$37k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
T
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 16?

Harris by 0.6-1

$345k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$1.3m 交易量
$0 流动性
32
已结束
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$1.2m 交易量
$0 流动性
107
已结束
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.6-2.0

$846k 交易量
$0 流动性
99
已结束
T
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

Harris by 0.5-0.9

$246k 交易量
$0 流动性
26
已结束
T
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$767k 交易量
$0 流动性
123
已结束
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 2-2.4

$3.9m 交易量
$0 流动性
26
已结束