Nous Research 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

W
Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?

Will Nous Research launch a token by ___?

25%

December 31, 2027

$12k 交易量
$8k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3 个月后结束
L
Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League

Soccer · Sports

Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League

98%

Paris Saint-Germain

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
9 个月后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$147k 交易量
$76k 流动性
3 个月后结束
L
Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League

Soccer · Sports

Ligue 1: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League

39%

Rennes

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
9 个月后结束
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

Yes

$147k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9
6 个月后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 交易量
$513 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$540 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
M
M15 Curitiba: Guilherme Barbieri Renner vs Kaue Noatto

Tennis · Sports

M15 Curitiba: Guilherme Barbieri Renner vs Kaue Noatto

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

87%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k 交易量
$370 流动性
5 天后结束
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k 交易量
$7k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

74%

↓ 8%

$11k 交易量
$43k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Sara Cakarevic vs Noemi Maines

Tennis · Sports

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Sara Cakarevic vs Noemi Maines

73%

Sara Cakarevic

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$65k 交易量
$61k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
B
Belgium Pro League: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League

Sports · Soccer

Belgium Pro League: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League

$0 交易量
$2k 流动性
8 个月后结束
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
7 个月后结束
R
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

83%

↓ 35%

$8k 交易量
$43k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束