Natural Disaster 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

13%

Yes

$247k 交易量
$1k 流动性
17
5 个月后结束
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

8%

Yes

$207k 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 个月后结束
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

Yes

$147k 交易量
$12k 流动性
9
6 个月后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$302 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 21 - September 27?

63%

0

$5k 交易量
$8k 流动性
4 天后结束
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

66%

≤6

$9k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4 天后结束
H
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

100%

6.5+

$15k 交易量
$3k 流动性
6 天后结束
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

58%

14–16

$1.5m 交易量
$5k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 交易量
$383 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m 交易量
$150k 流动性
🔥$61k 今日
8
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Yes

$50k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
H
How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

19+

$129k 交易量
$14 流动性
已结束
'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
'
'Twisters' Opening Weekend Box Office

'Twisters' Opening Weekend Box Office

>$61m

$75k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
M
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

All · trade

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

June 30

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
27
已结束
M
Megaquake in September?

Megaquake in September?

No

$90k 交易量
$0 流动性
19
已结束
M
Megaquake in August?

Science

Megaquake in August?

No

$82k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束
M
Megaquake in February?

Megaquake in February?

No

$180k 交易量
$0 流动性
19
已结束
M
Megaquake by August 31?

Megaquake by August 31?

No

$110k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Gaza · Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Not by April 19

$28k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束