Musk V Altman 预测与赔率· 730 个市场

T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$79k 交易量
$564k 流动性
12
9 个月后结束
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

1%

Dario Amodei

$49k 交易量
$34k 流动性
7
11 天后结束
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

34%

160-179

$859k 交易量
$402k 流动性
🔥$157k 今日
3 天后结束
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

27%

180-199

$511k 交易量
$301k 流动性
🔥$119k 今日
6 天后结束
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?

61%

40-64

$81k 交易量
$89k 流动性
🔥$69k 今日
1 天后结束
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?

21%

180-199

$27k 交易量
$246k 流动性
10 天后结束
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026?

59%

40-64

$5k 交易量
$31k 流动性
4 天后结束
E
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

32%

1000+

$163k 交易量
$151k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
M
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

5%

Yes

$17k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

1%

Yes

$11k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4 天后结束
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

6%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$461 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

34%

Yes

$19k 交易量
$135 流动性
6
3 个月后结束
W
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

6%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$492 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%

Yes

$26k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3 个月后结束
E
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

36%

880-919

$268k 交易量
$154k 流动性
4 天后结束
E
Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

62%

$900B-$1.00T

$39k 交易量
$7k 流动性
4 天后结束
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$709.6m 交易量
$60.7m 流动性
🔥$229k 今日
1,037
超过 2 年后结束
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

15%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$25.0m 交易量
$2.1m 流动性
213
6 个月后结束
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$708.1m 交易量
$51.7m 流动性
441
大约 2 年后结束