Gpt 4 预测与赔率· 131 个市场

W
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

All · machine learning

Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?

$144k 交易量
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W
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

All

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

Yes

$121k 交易量
$0 流动性
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G
GPT 4.5 released by...?

OpenAI · AI

GPT 4.5 released by...?

February 28

$214k 交易量
$0 流动性
84
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W
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

All · OpenAI

Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?

No

$22k 交易量
$0 流动性
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G
GPT-5.4 released by...?

GPT-5.4 released by...?

March 5

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
146
B
Best AI model on April 24? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 24? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
T
Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$59k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
B
Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$81k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
T
Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$48k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
B
Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$65k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
G
GPT-5.6 released on...?

GPT-5.6 released on...?

July 9

$1.0m 交易量
$0 流动性
29
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G
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No

$76k 交易量
$0 流动性
30
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O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

35%+

$29k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

45%+

$43k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束
B
Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$33k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
B
Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
A
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?

xAI

$103k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
A
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

Unknown

$350k 交易量
$0 流动性
72
A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

OpenAI

$239k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alibaba

$1.0m 交易量
$0 流动性
87
已结束