Fivethirtyeight 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

76%

Texas

$69k 交易量
$192k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

80%

Democrats

$3k 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

30%

Five Fears

$0 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 天后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

38%

Michigan

$5k 交易量
$38k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

50%

Broncos D/ST

$0 交易量
$60 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k 交易量
$53 流动性
3 个月后结束
R
Rainbow Six Siege: INTZ vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: INTZ vs Lucky Five (BO1) - South America League Stage 2 Group Stage

50%

INTZ

$0 交易量
$600 流动性
5 天后结束
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

25%

October 31

$1k 交易量
$152 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k 交易量
$465 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
C
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$60 交易量
$603 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
L
LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

53%

Maryville University

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
14 天后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$948k 交易量
$140k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
G
GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$5k 交易量
$30k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 交易量
$533 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 22?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 22?

96%

$760

$383 交易量
$8k 流动性
大约 23 小时后结束
W
What will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit in September 2026?

51%

↑ $180

$1k 交易量
$42 流动性
9 天后结束
W
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?

76%

↓ $224

$65k 交易量
$45k 流动性
9 天后结束
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 交易量
$490 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
L
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs

$265k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束